Blood urea nitrogen and creatinine ratio is an independent predictor for upper gastro-intestinal bleeding even in high prevalence chronic kidney disease population
Asri Che Jusoh, Ikram Ishak, Abdul Rahman Karim, Kushairi Zuradi, Izzat Taufiq Awang
Department of General Surgery, Hospital Sultan Ismail Petra, Kuala Krai, Kelantan, Malaysia
Methods: All adult patients admitted for suspected upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) and had upper endoscopic examination from November 2017 until November 2018 were reviewed. Apart from demographic data, other analyzed parameters were BCR at presentation, degree of renal failure, endoscopic findings and its intervention.
Results: A total of 104 patients was admitted within the study period. Eleven patients were excluded due to bleeding varices. Seventy- nine (76%) of them had non-variceal causes of bleeding and other remaining patients were either normal or had mild gastro-duodenitis (n=14, 15%). Prevalence of renal failure was much higher in the former group but not statistically significant, 54.4% vs 35.7%, p=0.197, respectively. The mean BCR also was significantly higher in the former group, 37.1 +- 16.79 vs 22.32 +- 10.99, p=0.002, respectively. Stepwise forward and backward multivariable logistic regression analysis showed BCR (adjusted OR 1.10, 95% CI: 1.041 ? 1.178, p=0.001) and renal failure (adjusted OR 6.37, 95% CI: 1.470 ? 27.606, p=0.013) were independently associated with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding with good ROC value (ROC=0.835, 95% CI 0.741 ? 0.929, p=0.0001). Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value for BUN creatinine ratio of > 15 and > 30 were 94.9%, 3
Conclusions: Blood urea nitrogen creatinine ratio remains a significant predictor for UGIB even in high prevalence CKD patients.
Keywords: blood urea nitrogen; creatinine; gastrointestinal bleeding; melena